Spécial Bitcoin ! Nouveau record en 2020, retombées électorales, DeFi souffre

Le Hodler’s Digest, qui paraît tous les dimanches, vous aidera à suivre toutes les nouvelles importantes qui se sont produites cette semaine.

Les meilleures (et les pires) citations, les faits marquants de l’adoption et de la réglementation, les principales pièces, les prédictions et bien plus encore – une semaine sur Cointelegraph en un seul lien.

Les meilleures nouvelles de la semaine
Les taureaux continuent de courir alors que Bitcoin atteint un nouveau record en 2020 à 15 950 dollars

La semaine a été une nouvelle fois extraordinaire pour les marchés de la cryptographie. Au cours de la journée de jeudi, la CTB a fait un bond de plus de 10 %. En plus d’avoir franchi la barre des 15 000 dollars pour la première fois depuis janvier 2018, la plus grande monnaie cryptographique du monde a atteint un sommet de 15 950 dollars.

Pour comprendre l’importance de ce phénomène, les données de Messari montrent que la BTC n’a dépassé ce niveau de prix que pendant 0,4 % de son existence. Un événement rare, en effet.

„Les gens ne diront plus jamais que Bitcoin est mort“, a déclaré avec approbation Barry Silbert, PDG de Grayscale.

L’analyste du Cointelegraph Michaël van de Poppe a déclaré que Bitcoin s’approchait du dernier obstacle avant de pouvoir atteindre un nouveau sommet historique, avec une dernière zone de résistance entre 15 800 et 16 800 dollars qui se dresse sur son chemin.

Cependant, il a mis en garde : „La probabilité d’une percée en une fois n’est pas élevée, étant donné que le prix du bitcoin a déjà grimpé de plus de 50 % ces dernières semaines“.

Tous les analystes ne sont pas d’accord. Certains pensent que l’éblouissante remontée de la BTC pourrait ne pas s’arrêter à 16 000 dollars, le nombre de Bitcoin détenus sur les bourses continuant de baisser.
Prévisions paraboliques
Trois façons dont le prix et les actions de Bitcoin pourraient réagir à une présidence Biden

Bitcoin a la réputation d’être un „actif refuge“, ce qui signifie que les investisseurs ont tendance à y affluer en période d’incertitude.

Cette semaine, nous avons vu l’incertitude à fleur de peau. La CTB s’est régulièrement appréciée lorsque le résultat des élections américaines n’était pas clair mercredi et que les bulletins de vote ont continué à être comptés. Donald Trump a également affirmé, sans preuve, que de nombreux votes étaient frauduleux.

Mais regardez ce qui s’est passé samedi, lorsque les grands médias ont officiellement annoncé que Joe Biden serait le prochain président des États-Unis. Les bitcoins ont chuté de 5,67 % dans les heures qui ont suivi. Puis il a rebondi en moins de 24 heures.

Cela signifie-t-il que les marchés de la cryptographie craignent une présidence de Joe Biden ? Aiment l’idée ? Ne savent pas quoi en penser ? Ou est-ce que nous voyons simplement la chaleur quitter le marché maintenant que les résultats sont plus clairs ? Et quelle est la prochaine étape pour BTC ?

Eh bien, l’élection de M. Biden ouvre la perspective d’un plan de relance d’ici la fin de l’année – et cela pourrait avoir un effet positif sur Bitcoin, en stimulant l’appétit des investisseurs pour les actifs à haut risque. Les analystes prévoient également une reprise de la bourse américaine maintenant que les résultats ont été confirmés.

Il y a encore quelque chose que nous ne savons pas : le point de vue du président élu sur Bitcoin. „Pour l’instant, ce n’est vraiment pas un problème assez important pour mériter son attention“, a déclaré Jake Chervinsky, de Compound Finance.

Bitcoin à 15 000 dollars est maintenant plus important que PayPal, Coca-Cola, Netflix et Disney

Le début du mois de septembre ressemble à une vie entière, n’est-ce pas ? À l’époque, Bitcoin tournait autour de 10 000 dollars, avec une capitalisation boursière d’environ 190 milliards de dollars.

Aujourd’hui, la CTB semble avoir trouvé un soutien à hauteur de 15 000 dollars. Cela a également permis à la capitalisation boursière de Bitcoin d’augmenter de 50 % pour atteindre 280 milliards de dollars – et cela signifie que la plus grande devise cryptographique du monde a désormais plus de valeur que la plupart des grandes entreprises.

Les données suggèrent que, si l’on compare l’évaluation de BTC avec celle des sociétés cotées en bourse aux États-Unis, elle serait la 18e plus importante. Cela éclipse des sociétés comme Verizon, PayPal, Disney, Netflix et Bank of America.

Bitcoin pourrait maintenant avoir pour objectif de dépasser Home Depot, qui occupe la 17e place avec une capitalisation boursière de 306 milliards de dollars. Si la CTB continue de progresser et se hisse à la 16e place, elle rétrogradera également Mastercard, ce qui enverra un signal fort sur l’avenir de l’argent.

Cela dit, BTC a encore un long chemin à parcourir avant de pouvoir rattraper le plafond de marché de 2 000 milliards de dollars d’Apple, ce qui en fait la société la plus précieuse du monde. Pour que Bitcoin puisse éclipser cette valeur, il faudrait que le prix par pièce soit de 120 000 dollars.

L’indice DeFi de Binance s’effondre de 60 % alors que Bitcoin éclipse les altcoins

Le temps de Bitcoin sous les projecteurs a été une mauvaise nouvelle pour les altcoins… et il semble qu’il ait aussi fait perdre de l’éclat à DeFi.

L’indice composite DeFi de Binance se négocie désormais sous les 400 dollars, soit une baisse de 60 % par rapport à ses plus hauts niveaux historiques. Pour aggraver les choses, la plupart des jetons DeFi ont effacé 70 à 90 % de leurs gains depuis début septembre.

La bourse a également déclaré que le mois avait été „décevant“ pour les cryptos à grande capitalisation tels que ETH, XRP, BCH et LTC, qui n’ont tous réalisé que des „gains modestes“ en octobre.

Cela dit, tout n’est pas sombre pour DeFi. Bien que la valeur des jetons de gouvernance ait pris un coup (ce qui n’est peut-être pas surprenant étant donné que certains d’entre eux, comme YFI, ont été conçus pour être sans valeur), la valeur totale enfermée dans les protocoles ne s’est pas effondrée. Elle s’élève actuellement à 12,16 milliards de dollars, ce qui n’est pas loin des records atteints fin octobre.

„Extreme Greed“ et FOMO s’imposent alors que la CTB pousse à 16 000 dollars

Bitcoin Bank in the USA: Wyoming gives the green light for second BTC Bank Avanti

Wyoming-based digital asset bank Avanti will become the second Bitcoin bank in the United States. In a press release on October 28 , the bank, of which Caitlin Long is founder, announced that it had received permission to store digital assets and tokenized US dollars.

Avanti as the second Bitcoin bank in the USA

As a reminder, Avanti was first announced in February. The Digital Asset Bank was founded by Caitlin Long. We have reported several times on Long and her leadership role in blockchain and crypto issues in US law.

Bitcoin Pro scam has now received approval from the Wyoming State Banking Board. Specifically, this means that the bank receives the sovereign permission for the safekeeping of digital assets and tokenized USD.

Therefore, the second Bitcoin Bank in the USA is now planning to offer several services related to cryptocurrencies. There should be a kind of „online banking“ and various depository services for cryptocurrencies. A separate stablecoin with the name AVIT is also planned.

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Bridge between the traditional financial system and crypto

As already mentioned, Avanti will offer its own token. According to its own statements, the stablecoin AVIT should become a „disruptor“ that sets new standards. The company plans to choose Ethereum as a blockchain for the introduction of the stablecoin.

Company founder Caitlin Long herself has high expectations of the services of her bank and wants to make cryptocurrencies accessible to millions of US citizens. So she said:

Avanti intends to connect the traditional and digital financial systems by offering services that are not currently available anywhere else.

As an example, she cited the direct processing of dollar transactions for digital assets. Currently, only special custody providers are allowed to offer this service in the USA.

We can thus state the following: After Kraken, Avanti is now the second Bitcoin bank in the USA. The regulatory advances clearly show that the traditional financial sector is increasingly interested in cryptocurrencies and digital assets.

More than just Bitcoin – stocks, gold and ETFs for investors

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„Wszyscy” rosyjscy urzędnicy służby cywilnej powiedzieli, że zadeklarują zasoby kryptowalut

Rosyjscy urzędnicy publiczni będą zobowiązani do zadeklarowania, ile kryptowalut posiadają, poinformowała prokuratura generalna tego kraju .

Zgodnie z oficjalnym komunikatem Prokurator Generalny wprowadził zmiany zgodnie z pierwszą w kraju ustawą kryptograficzną, która została zatwierdzona na początku tego roku i ogłoszona 1 stycznia 2021 r

Chociaż niektórzy uważają, że prawo jest zwykłym „ glosariuszem terminów ” i prekursorem bardziej kompleksowej ustawy, która jest nadal bardzo w toku, nowe prawo zakazuje płatności w kryptowalutach i daje podstawy prawne branży kryptograficznej.

W związku z tym prokurator generalny Igor Krasnov stwierdził wczoraj, że kryptowaluty wkrótce będą miały ten sam rodzaj „praw własności”, jak inne klasy aktywów, takie jak nieruchomości, pojazdy i papiery wartościowe – i jako takie muszą zostać zgłoszone.

Krasnov dodał, że wszyscy urzędnicy służby cywilnej będą zobowiązani do zgłaszania swoich zasobów kryptowalut od 2021 r., A kryptowaluty będą traktowane „na równi z innymi aktywami”

Zgodnie z rosyjskim prawem funkcjonariusze publiczni, którzy ukrywają lub dostarczają niekompletnych lub wprowadzających w błąd informacji o swoich dochodach i majątku, mogą być ścigani przez wymiar sprawiedliwości zgodnie z przepisami antykorupcyjnymi.

W ciągu ostatnich trzech lat The News Spy poinformowała, że ​​przejęła lub skonfiskowała nieujawnione aktywa o wartości 441 mln USD od urzędników, którzy próbowali ukryć swoje zarobki.

Urząd nie ujawnił, w jaki sposób będzie identyfikował potencjalnych przestępców, ale pewną rolę mogą odegrać takie rozwiązania, jak platforma kryptograficzna do deanonimizacji opracowana przez Federalną Służbę Monitorowania Finansów (znaną lokalnie jako Rosfinmonitoring ), której szczegóły ujawniono na początku tego roku.

Bitcoin Mixer Helix in need of explanation: 60 million US dollar fine imposed

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Stable Coins and CBDC: Global economy insists on uniform regulation
Bitcoin and Co: The top news of the week

Bad news for lovers of financial privacy: The US authorities want to regulate the crypto market. Now the operator of the Bitcoin mixer Helix has been sentenced to a hefty fine.

In an official press release on October 19, FinCEN (short for Financial Crimes Enforcement Network) reported a fine of 60 million US dollars and ongoing criminal proceedings against the Bitcoin Mixer Helix.
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The founder, administrator and principal operator of the platform, Larry Dean Harmon, is accused of money laundering and operating an unlicensed financial business. His Helix (2014-2017) and Coin Ninja (2017-2020) projects anonymized over $311 million through more than one million different Bitcoin transactions, in violation of the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA), among other things.

The BSA states that financial institutions are forced to assist U.S. authorities in detecting and preventing money laundering. This includes checking the legitimacy of customers in accordance with the law, recording transactions and reporting suspicious activities. All this was not possible due to the lack of a license from Helix and Coin Ninja.

Order in the Wild Crypto-West

Mixers are also known by names like Tumbler or Blender. These make it possible to conceal the traces of money flows and thus increase privacy. Services like Helix collect Bitcoin transfers from different addresses and mix them. They are then broken down into small amounts and sent to addresses that the depositor previously specified.

This is not illegal per se. However, if you join forces with criminals and promote or facilitate money laundering, the situation changes very quickly. This is because American authorities decide that all services that carry out money laundering transactions are illegal. These are accusations that Larry Dean Harmon is being accused of, and which continue to be investigated during the current criminal proceedings.
Darknet advertising creates need for explanation

His aggressive PR strategy can be his undoing. In Darknet, the American presented his services as an anonymous payment method for the purchase of weapons, drugs and even child pornography. It is therefore not without reason that some crypto exchanges block all addresses associated with Bitcoin mixers.

Above all, however, any authorities will be listening intently. They are increasingly determined to introduce law and order into the Wild Crypto-West. Only recently, the IRS (short for Internal Revenue Service) commissioned the company Chainalysis to crack the code of private crypto currencies like Monero. A contract that cost the IRS $625,000.

In 2020, the first penalties for violations of the law in connection with the ICO boom of 2017 also trickled in. Among others, celebrities like Steven Seagal and rapper T.I. were fined. Some companies were also affected. Due to a lack of registration of ICOs, companies such as Salt and BitClave were ordered to make refunds to their investors.

The first marketplace for second-hand hardware mining is online

Asic Jungle intends to provide an alternative to the purchases agreed on Telegram channels, which have less guarantees

Asic Jungle has launched a beta version of what he calls „the first ever mining hardware marketplace“ of cryptocurrency. The company’s CEO, Artem Bespaloff, told Cointelegraph that he has created a platform for the direct purchase and sale of second-hand mining equipment:

„[It is] the first and only online marketplace where buyers can talk directly to sellers through the platform and they don’t have to use any brokerage services or Telegram channels (I call them „suspicious“ Telegram channels) because everything happens there. And we decided to create this ecosystem where buyers and sellers interact with each other“.
An example of an offer. Source: Asic Jungle
An example of an offer. Source: Asic Jungle
The company’s solution to these problems is a marketplace that connects buyers and sellers of ASICs in a safe and transparent environment. According to Bespaloff, ASIC brokers currently charge high surcharges, taking advantage of the lack of price discovery mechanisms in this market. He believes that these brokers deliberately create an information asymmetry by not disclosing relevant data.

Bespaloff stressed that Asic Jungle has a number of security features to ensure that transactions take place in a reliable environment, including a strong emphasis on AML compliance. As the Canadian company intends to have customers from around the world, it expects to comply with both local laws and US regulations.

Although mining equipment becomes progressively less efficient over time, Bespaloff has ensured that there is abundant demand for second-hand hardware in places where energy sources are very cheap or even free, such as parts of Canada and Venezuela, although residents of the latter country could be excluded from the platform under US sanctions.

Both Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH) have recently recorded a record increase in hashrate, indicating that there will certainly be demand for this type of component in the near future.

Watch out for the cute cat scam – he loses $ 140,000 in cryptocurrency in one click

Scams are on the rise – With the popularity of Uniswap’s governance token, scams were to be expected to flourish. This is the case of UniCats, which takes advantage of the credulity of its users to siphon off their accounts.

UniCats: the scam in all its glory

On Monday, October 5, Alex Manuskin , researcher affiliated with Crypto Legacy highlighted the UniCats scam behind the theft of at least $ 140,000 in UNI tokens .

This was presented as yet another yield farming protocol , which allows you to generate MEOW tokens by storing UNI tokens .

Manuskin tells us the story of an anonymous user nicknamed „Jhon Doe“ on this occasion. After discovering UniCats, Jhon decides to deposit his UNI tokens there, hoping to take part in the latest trendy yield farming protocol .

When Jhon interacts with the smart contract, it offers him to „allow this dApp to spend [his] UNI“ . A very common message in decentralized finance, which he accepts without asking any questions.

After having generated a few MEOW tokens, he said to himself that it is time for him to withdraw his UNI tokens , which he did. The story should end there, but it was without counting on the dishonesty of UniCat , the creator of UniCats.

Indeed, UniCat has coded a backdoor in the smart contract of its yield farming protocol , thanks to a method called “setGovernance” . This method allows it to call any data passed, at any address.

“UniCat therefore calls the setGovernance method, with a call to the UNI token and the instruction to transfer the tokens from Jhon to the farm. Passed tokens are then exchanged with ETH on Uniswap. „- Alex Manuskin

Thus, during his sleep, Jhon loses 26,000 UNI , then 10,000 UNI , in 2 separate transactions. The UniCat scammer thus retained control over all the funds delegated to the protocol, but also over all those stored on the original address of poor Jhon .

Once the funds have been recovered by UniCat and converted into ETH on Uniswap, they are sent to an address belonging to it via Tornado.cash , an application which allows to mix ETH and to anonymize transactions on Ethereum.

Be careful with the permissions!

This scam highlights a common problem in the DeFi ecosystem. Indeed, many smart contracts require permission to spend an infinite amount of tokens when you want to deposit funds.

A practice often criticized, but which continues despite everything. Thus, to protect yourself from such scams, it is advisable to define a maximum amount in the authorization passed to the smart contract.

In addition, it is always good to test the new protocols with a reduced sum, in order to ensure upstream that this one indeed offers the service that it advertises.

Notícias em Cryptocurrency Roundup para 25 de Agosto de 2020

Em um novo movimento que poderia ter um impacto considerável no ecossistema Ethereum, a ConsenSys anunciou que está adquirindo o Quorum.

A Quorum é a plataforma da cadeia de bloqueio empresarial desenvolvida pelo gigante bancário JP Morgan Chase, que, como parte do negócio, também estará fazendo um investimento estratégico no estúdio de risco Ethereum, sediado no Brooklyn, Nova Iorque.

Até agora, ambas as empresas se abstiveram de divulgar os aspectos financeiros do negócio. Mais sobre isso e outras grandes histórias e atualizações do mercado do dia no noticiário diário do BeInCrypto de 25 de agosto de 2020.

JPMorgan Inches Closer to Crypto in ConsenSys Tie Up

Em algum momento da história da empresa, o CEO, Jamie Dimon, denunciou publicamente e sem desculpas Bitcoin Profit. No entanto, após o lançamento do Quorum, o banco de investimentos está agora se unindo a alguns dos mais destacados desenvolvedores que trabalham no espaço de ponta da DeFi.

O ConsenSys Quorum, como será agora conhecido, é descrito como uma „camada de protocolo de código aberto“ que apoiará as empresas na construção de soluções públicas ou privadas na cadeia de bloqueio Ethereum.

Jogando Monopólio com Satoshis na Rede Relâmpago

Uma nova versão do popular jogo de tabuleiro Monopólio, inspirada no Bitcoin e no Satoshi Nakamoto, foi recentemente proposta no Reddit. O jogo despertou o interesse da comunidade criptográfica.

Simplificando, a jogabilidade do novo Monopólio segue a estrutura clássica do Monopólio, mas com algumas reviravoltas que o tornam óptimo para ensinar alguém a usar o Bitcoin.

Mais especificamente, neste jogo, o Banco tem uma quantidade fixa de Bitcoin. Esta é uma representação precisa da escassez de Bitcoin. Os jogadores colocam este BTC em uma carteira de custódia como Carteira de Satoshi ou Carteira Azul.

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Bitcoin Mal se Segura Depois de Cair para os Níveis de Suporte

O preço do Bitcoin vinha subindo desde que atingiu um mínimo local de $11.367 em 22 de agosto. O rally continuou até 24 de agosto, quando o BTC parecia ter saído da área de resistência de US$ 11.700.

No entanto, o preço atingiu o nível de 0,382 Fib de todo o declínio anterior, foi rejeitado, e caiu de volta abaixo da área desde então. O movimento foi combinado com um declínio do RSI abaixo de 50 e uma queda no MACD, ambos considerados sinais de baixa.

  • O Bitcoin foi rejeitado por um nível de Fibra importante e começou a cair.
  • O preço foi quebrado a partir de uma linha de apoio ascendente de curto prazo, mas ainda está se segurando a um apoio de longo prazo.
  • A bitcoin provavelmente começou a última onda de uma correção.

Conman Bitcoin australiano preso por alegado saque de $1.73M

As agências de aplicação da lei australianas apanharam um indivíduo que alegadamente cometeu uma série de crimes relacionados com o Bitcoin para acumular milhões de dólares.

O acusado, Peter Foster, é suspeito de ser um vigarista em série que supostamente dominou a arte de se fazer passar por seus alvos para roubar bitcoin.

Foster foi acusado de cinco acusações de publicar material falso ou enganoso para obter uma vantagem, dez acusações de obter vantagem financeira desonestamente por engano, e de lidar conscientemente com os lucros do crime com a intenção de esconder.

Binance recebe luz verde para lançamento na Flórida

Uma atualização de 24 de agosto no site Binance.US descreveu os detalhes do lançamento para os Floridians num tom similar ao da Coley, „Não poderíamos estar mais felizes em receber os residentes da Flórida no Binance.US!“

O anúncio também foi recebido por usuários de mídias sociais que se reuniram para outros estados. Estados altamente populosos como Nova York e Texas ainda estão fora dos limites para Binance devido às suas exigências de licenciamento.

As Ondas Provavelmente Deram um Pontapé de Saída de Longo Prazo para cima

O preço das Ondas vinha se consolidando perto do nível de 10.000 satoshi há quase um ano, no período entre julho de 2019 – 2020. O preço iniciou um movimento ascendente que ocorreu através de um candelabro em alta durante a semana de 10 a 17 de agosto, em volume acima da média.

O preço tem vindo a descer gradualmente desde então. No entanto, WAVES ainda não atingiu sequer o nível de 0,382 Fib da correção anterior, que provavelmente seria a primeira grande área de resistência.

Dieses einfache technische Muster könnte Ethereum über $350

Dieses einfache technische Muster könnte Ethereum über $350

Ethereum kämpft darum, gegenüber dem US-Dollar über $340 und $350 an Schwung zu gewinnen. Der ETH-Preis könnte zu einem starken Anstieg ansetzen, wenn er den 100-Stunden-SMA bei $350 abschliesst.

Ethereum steht in der Nähe des Widerstandsniveaus bei Bitcoin Era von $340 und $350 vor einer schwierigen Aufgabe.
Der Preis handelt in einem Bereich oberhalb von 320 $ und unterhalb des einfachen gleitenden 100-Stunden-Durchschnitts.

  • Auf der stündlichen Grafik von ETH/USD (Dateneinspeisung über Kraken) bildet sich ein wichtiger rückläufiger Kanal mit einem Widerstand nahe $340.
  • Das Paar könnte den 100-Stunden-SMA und den $350-Kurs auf der Stunden-Chart überwinden, wenn es den Kanalwiderstand überwindet.

Ethereum-Preis steht vor Hürden

Gestern durchbrach Ethereum die Widerstandsmarken von $340 und $350. Der ETH-Kurs hatte jedoch Mühe, über die $355-Marke hinaus an Schwung zu gewinnen und blieb deutlich unter dem einfachen gleitenden 100-Stunden-Durchschnitt, was einen möglichen zinsbullischen Ausbruch entkräftet.

Der Ätherpreis begann einen erneuten Rückgang unter die Unterstützungsmarke von $340. Er durchbrach das 50% Fib-Retracement-Level der Aufwärtsbewegung vom 323 $-Tief auf 355 $-Hoch. Es gab auch eine Spitze unterhalb der Unterstützungsmarke von $335.

Es handelt sich derzeit nahe dem 76,4% Fib-Retracement-Level der Aufwärtsbewegung vom $323-Tief zum $355-Hoch. Ether scheint einem großen Widerstand nahe dem $340-Niveau gegenüberzustehen. Auch auf der Stunden-Chart von ETH/USD bildet sich ein wichtiger rückläufiger Channel mit einem Widerstand nahe $340.

Sollte es einen Durchbruch über den Kanalwiderstand hinaus geben, könnten die Bullen versuchen, den 100-Stunden-SMA bei $350 zu überwinden. Sollte ihnen dies gelingen, besteht die Chance auf einen stetigen Anstieg über die $355- und $360-Marke in naher Zukunft.

Der nächste größere Widerstand liegt nahe dem $370-Level, oberhalb dessen sich der Preis wahrscheinlich in einen positiven Bereich bewegen wird und die $400-Hürde erneut überspringen könnte.

Bärischer Bruch in der ETH?

Wenn Ethereum weiterhin in der Nähe des $350 und der 100-Stunden-SMA kämpft, besteht die Gefahr eines bärischen Bruchs. Eine erste Unterstützung auf der Abwärtsseite bei Bitcoin Era liegt nahe dem $325-Niveau.

Die nächste wichtige Unterstützung liegt nahe den Niveaus von $315 und $310. Ein Tagesschluss unter dem $310-Tief dürfte einen weiteren starken Rückgang auslösen. Im genannten Fall könnte der Preis sogar unter die Unterstützungsmarke von 300 $ fallen.

  • Technische Indikatoren
  • Stündlicher MACD – Der MACD für ETH/USD bewegt sich langsam in der bärischen Zone.
  • Stündlicher RSI – Der RSI für ETH/USD liegt jetzt knapp über der 40er Marke.
  • Hauptunterstützungsebene – $325
  • Haupt-Widerstandsebene – $350

Il discorso di Jackson Hole del presidente della Fed Powell potrebbe accennare al futuro del dollaro USA

Un discorso del presidente della Federal Reserve Jerome Powell, in programma per giovedì, offre un promemoria di quanto drammaticamente le forze monetarie, una volta in lento movimento, abbiano accelerato la loro corsa a causa del devastante tributo economico della pandemia di coronavirus.

Lo scorso anno, di questi tempi, il presidente Donald Trump ha criticato con veemenza Powell su Twitter per aver fissato tassi di interesse troppo alti, mentre la crescita economica degli Stati Uniti rallentava e il debito nazionale superava i 22 mila miliardi di dollari.

Poiché la diffusione del coronavirus all’inizio di quest’anno ha innescato blocchi e quarantene, l’economia globale quest’anno è entrata nella sua più profonda recessione dall’inizio del XX secolo.

Quando i mercati dalle azioni al Immediate Edge sono andati in estasi a marzo, la Fed ha tagliato i tassi di interesse vicino allo zero e da allora ha annunciato piani per l’acquisto di titoli del Tesoro statunitense in quantità sostanzialmente illimitate, fornendo al contempo liquidità di emergenza per i mercati monetari, gli operatori di Wall Street e le società.

„La strada da percorrere è molto incerta“, ha detto giovedì il governatore della Fed Michelle Bowman in un discorso in Kansas.

Non c’è una via d’uscita facile per Powell

Molti investitori scommettono sul bitcoin come copertura contro il potenziale svilimento del dollaro americano, ma i funzionari della Fed dicono che le forze deflazionistiche potrebbero essere più forti a causa del previsto calo della domanda da parte dei consumatori e delle famiglie.

Gli analisti della Bank of America, la seconda banca più grande degli Stati Uniti, hanno scritto all’inizio di questa settimana in un rapporto che i trader del mercato obbligazionario si aspettano che la Fed adotti un „nuovo importante quadro politico volto a raggiungere meglio il suo obiettivo del 2%“ per l’inflazione annuale.

A partire dall’ultima lettura, la misura preferita dalla banca centrale per gli aumenti dei prezzi al consumo ha registrato solo lo 0,9%, quindi l’aspettativa di base è che la Fed permetta all’inflazione di salire ben oltre il 2%, in modo che la media su un lungo periodo di tempo si avvicini all’obiettivo.

„Siamo ottimisti e diciamo che ci vogliono tre anni per creare un po‘ di inflazione“, ha scritto mercoledì in un’e-mail Matt Blom, responsabile delle vendite e del trading della società di digital-asset Diginex. „Dovremmo portarla al di sopra del 3,5% e mantenerla per anni prima di poter utilizzare un calcolo medio“.

Non è chiaro quale sia lo scenario della Fed è già quotato sul mercato, ma Athanasios Vamvakidis, analista di cambio della Bank of America, ha scritto che non c’è „nessuna via d’uscita facile“ per Powell e i suoi colleghi.

„Senza che l’inflazione alla fine agisca come un vincolo di bilancio, vediamo rischi di bolle ricorrenti e di peggioramento, con ulteriori divergenze tra Wall Street e Main Street“, ha scritto Vamvakidis.

Cosa potrebbe dire il discorso di Powell sul futuro del dollaro

I trader di Crypto si concentreranno a breve termine su ciò che il discorso della Fed potrebbe significare per i prezzi dei bitcoin, che sono aumentati di quasi il 60% nel 2020, superando di gran lunga il guadagno del 7,7% di quest’anno nell’indice Standard & Poor’s 500 delle azioni statunitensi.

Ma le azioni della Fed potrebbero anche avere implicazioni per l’etere, la pedina nativa della catena di blocco dell’Ethereum, dove gli imprenditori stanno sviluppando valute alternative e reti di prestito e di trading semi-autonome che un giorno potrebbero sostituire l’attuale sistema finanziario. C’è anche un business in rapida crescita nel settore degli „stablecoins“ legati al dollaro, con l’importo raddoppiato quest’anno a 13 miliardi di dollari.

„Molto è cambiato“, ha detto Joe DiPasquale, CEO dell’hedge fund BitBull Capital, focalizzato sulla crittovaluta. „C’è il pericolo che in futuro gli Stati Uniti [il dollaro] non siano più la valuta di riserva mondiale. Siamo in una posizione molto peggiore rispetto a un anno fa“.

Mati Greenspan, fondatore della società di crittovaluta e di analisi dei cambi Quantum Economics, ha scritto questa settimana che il ritorno di Powell a Jackson Hol

Colombian Fintech focuses on the world of fashion

Bankamoda was born in October 2018 in Colombia, with the objective of providing exclusive financial services for micro and small businesses in the fashion industry. This was stated in an article by Fashion United, from Mexico, on August 25.

According to that publication, the initiative came from the hand of Maria del Mar Palau, CEO of the Crypto Cash company, who along with two other partners decided to carry out a proposal for a niche, but with dyes of innovation and potential. They also highlighted that it already has 690 active clients.

Banco de Bogotá is recognized as the best bank in digital loans in Latin America

Palau provided some details with numbers of what is happening in Colombia in this area: „There are more than 145 thousand productive units of micro and small enterprises that are part of the business fabric of the fashion system, without counting the medium and large ones. That means that it is the main employer in the manufacturing industry in the country, with 27 percent of the employment generation, with more than 850 thousand direct jobs and it is believed that there are 1.8 times in formal indirect jobs and the additional informality can be more or less another million and a half jobs (according to data from 2019)“.

He then added: „The sector is traditionally informal or pseudo-formal because 82 percent of the people in the industry are mothers, many of them heads of household, whose work often cannot be eight hours a day, but who do it on a piecework basis or at specific times.

CredyJusto joins Colombia’s Fintech ecosystem

In addition, he said, working in the industry provides the opportunity to generate social mobility: „Many generations of women who only made clothes now have the possibility of having their children or grandchildren with a university education, and this has allowed these generations to enter the fashion industry with more aggressive bets, with their own brands, or to get into more sophisticated product marketing channels, and that is the social impact, which attracts Bankamoda.

According to Bankamoda, the idea is that small companies, through financial leverage instruments, can grow and have access to a more accelerated social mobility than that registered by the last two generations.

Bitcoin ATMs in Colombia: Where are they and how many are there?

How do they work?
The development of the business model is accompanied by a goal, which is to include and provide access to more productive units to the formal credit system.

In this context, Palau specified: „Perhaps the most assertive way we have found is B2B2C. Although we are a Fintech focused on SMEs, (we do digital self-management through our website, any company can access, do the whole process online and we respond in 24 or 48 hours maximum, depending on the amounts and the condition of the client), what happens with some companies is that since they have not traditionally had access to formal credit in the banking system they are very afraid to approach without a previous recommendation. They see it as something too good to be true. So we decided to work with big players in the industry to attract those small businesses with recommendations that give them confidence and make it easier for them to come to us.